2005 NFL Projections – Q4 Graph
A couple entries back, we discussed the projections of the 2005 NFL Season. They were based off of Week 13’s beatpath graph, using the graph to project winners for each of the last four weeks of the season, updating itself and its projections each week.
The current projection system is at about 64% accuracy, which means that it’s attempting to call 32 games with 64% accuracy apiece. I believe this means that the collection of picks has about a .000063 % chance of being correct. So, we’re not exactly resting our reputation on this projection, other than to point out the broad movements that seem apparent from examining the shifts in the rankings (Seattle will probably slip, Washington will probably rise, etc).
But, while it’s a bit silly, it’s still interesting to look at the graphical representation of these picks. Here is how the final four weeks of the NFL season are projected to turn out, based off of the win/loss performance of each team through the first 12 weeks. Each arrow represents a victory, although not all victories are accounted for due to redundancy. There are no beatloops.
