With our current tiebreaking algorithm (strength of direct beatwins), the beatpath system was 12-4 this week; 134-74 for the season. The beatfluke graph also had a 12-4 record with the same picks, and is now 136-72 for the season. Both systems missed on MIA=>SD, NYJ=>OAK, PIT=>CHI, and GB=>DET. Eight splits and 42 three-team beatloops this [...]
Monday Night: Atlanta slightly improves again by developing a beatpath over New Orleans. Big movers: Up: PIT, CLE, ATL Down: SD, CAR Read on for earlier games.
A couple entries back, we discussed the projections of the 2005 NFL Season. They were based off of Week 13′s beatpath graph, using the graph to project winners for each of the last four weeks of the season, updating itself and its projections each week. The current projection system is at about 64% accuracy, which [...]
It’s time for the preview of this week’s upcoming games. I’ve run some scenarios of the final weeks of the seasons, and it seems fairly likely that we’ll see more beatloops busting apart over the next few weeks, which will lead to the re-emergence of old wins and losses from earlier in the season. Very [...]
I can’t believe it took me this long to think of it, but it occurred to me that by using the beatpath graphs and the power rankings, I could project the shape of the rest of the NFL season. Obviously this won’t really be accurate (the picks are at 64%, not 100% – we’re not [...]
Seattle beat Philadelphia as expected, but wow – it looked like Houston would have beaten Philadelphia. The current tiebreaking algorithm was 11-5 this week, with a 2005 record of 122-70 so far. It missed on KC, NYG, CAR, MIA, and CIN (which it had to pick due to PIT’s beatpath to it). Here’s the beatpath [...]
(This entry will be updated multiple times throughout the day.) Evening game: No change after San Diego beats Oakland. Here are the big swings in the rankings this week: Up: CHI Down: PIT, ATL, BUF A lot of teams rose a notch or two to fill the spaces left by PIT and ATL. Afternoon games: [...]
Strange moments in NFL webpage history, #193853:
Time for the preview of this week’s upcoming games. A lot of potential for season splits to develop this week. Splits can be exciting because it means that several beatloops could be busted, leading to old wins and losses reasserting themselves in the graph – as loops get busted, they give us a better idea [...]
Believe it or not, the system was able to chug its way through the entire 2005 NBA season without a lot of pain. And the graph looks cool, too. I’m pleasantly surprised. MLB might work pretty well, after all. Here’s the 2005 beatpath graph after San Antonio won the championship: Now here’s the more interesting [...]