So, you go to the playoffs with the seedings you have, not the ones you wish you had. Here’s how the seedings actually work out: AFC: SD, BAL, IND, NE, NYJ, KC NFC: CHI, NO, PHI, SEA, DAL, NYG For the wildcard round, both the beatfluke and non-beatfluke variant project the same outcomes, although in [...]

We’re at the end of the regular season! And we have playoff seedings. All season long, I’ve been using the beatflukes variant because historically it has proven more accurate in predicting game outcomes. However, the point of this system was never really to predict game outcomes – it’s more just to get a simple snapshot [...]

Here are the power rankings for the end of the regular season. Some big shifts due to the crazy game outcomes. First, the graph for review: And, the rankings. I’ll make note of the non-beatfluke rankings in brackets. Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat ARI) No change for San Diego other than the [...]

Here, finally, are the beatpaths graphs for Week 17. It was another screwy week, with several upsets – the power rankings were 8-8 again. I don’t think there were any games like in 2006 where teams were obviously phoning it in – it seems like everyone had something to play for. One could argue the [...]

These are the EOY projections from before the Week 17 game results. Week 17 results come soon. If the playoffs had ended after Week 16, the beatpaths seedings would be: AFC: IND, SD, NE*, BAL*, DEN, CIN (DEN actually ranked ahead of NE and BAL) NFC: NO, PHI, CHI, SEA*, DAL, CAR (SEA actually ranked [...]

These are the week 16 Power Rankings – they’re going up after the conclusion of the Week 17 games, because I ended up in a dramatic (not) hard drive replacement situation with my laptop this weekend. Week 17 results are coming soon. For review: And the rankings: Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Lost [...]