2007 MLB Playoffs Beatpath Graph!

I was bored tonight so I plugged in the entire Major League Baseball season for 2007.

I don’t follow baseball at all, so you baseball nuts will have to tell me how this looks. This is the season-ending beatpath graph and power rankings, using the same system I use for the NFL. It includes the Rockies’ playoff win over the Padres. Does it look about right? I haven’t even looked at the standings. What about it is interesting?

2007-193-Mlb-Clean

About the power rankings… ignore the “Last Week” column – that’s actually just the team names an arbitrary order that I pasted from some website.

Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower

1

Red Sox (Bye) I actually have the Red Sox flat-out tied with the Yankees for #1, and the only reason the Red Sox are ranked ahead is because their team name was listed first in that arbitrary listing I typed in. So… an entire season, and the Red Sox and Yankees are flat-out tied.

18

90.7

(22/27 – 0/27)

2

Yankees (Bye) I think I used to be a Red Sox fan ahead of a Yankees fan (my New York team was the LA Dodgers)… but aren’t the Red Sox just another multibajillionaire behemoth now anyway?

19

90.4

(21/26 – 0/26)

3

Indians (Bye) Seriously, from here on down I’m not even sure who has made the playoffs. I know the Rockies… Diamondbacks… Angels?

23

82.0

(18/25 – 2/25)

4

Rockies (Beat Padres) Considering I’m a Broncos fan, you’d think I’d know more about this… I suppose I’m vaguely thrilled, though… and I did see that hilight of that guy almost touching home plate against the Padres. Looks like it hurt. Oh… I actually have the Rockies and Angels tied.

13

87.5

(18/24 – 0/24)

5

Angels (Bye) Rockies and Angels are tied.

27

90.0

(20/25 – 0/25)

6

Tigers (Bye)

24

78.0

(17/25 – 3/25)

7

Diamondbacks (Bye) Diamondbacks and Dodgers are tied…

12

79.5

(15/22 – 2/22)

8

Dodgers (Bye) Dodgers and Diamondbacks are tied…

14

79.5

(15/22 – 2/22)

9

Phillies (Bye)

4

65.4

(14/26 – 6/26)

10

Mariners (Bye)

29

77.1

(14/24 – 1/24)

11

Padres (Lost to Rockies)

15

73.8

(12/21 – 2/21)

12

Blue Jays (Bye)

21

82.7

(17/26 – 0/26)

13

Twins (Bye)

26

70.8

(16/24 – 6/24)

14

Mets (Bye)

3

53.6

(13/28 – 11/28)

15

Athletics (Bye)

28

48.1

(12/26 – 13/26)

16

Braves (Bye) Braves and Giants are tied…

1

57.7

(11/26 – 7/26)

17

Giants (Bye) Giants and Braves are tied…

16

42.9

(11/28 – 15/28)

18

Marlins (Bye)

2

37.5

(10/28 – 17/28)

19

Cubs (Bye)

6

34.5

(9/29 – 18/29)

20

Nationals (Bye)

5

27.8

(7/27 – 19/27)

21

Rangers (Bye)

30

36.1

(3/18 – 8/18)

22

Brewers (Bye) Brewers and Cardinals are tied.

9

55.0

(3/20 – 1/20)

23

Cardinals (Bye) Cardinals and Brewers are tied.

11

16.0

(3/25 – 20/25)

24

Pirates (Bye)

10

11.5

(2/26 – 22/26)

25

Orioles (Bye) Orioles and White Sox are tied.

17

10.4

(2/24 – 21/24)

26

White Sox (Bye) White Sox and Orioles are tied.

22

16.0

(2/25 – 19/25)

27

Astros (Bye) The last four teams are basically tied for worst, with the exception of the Astros definitely being better than the Reds.

8

7.7

(1/26 – 23/26)

28

Devil Rays (Bye)

20

2.1

(0/24 – 23/24)

29

Royals (Bye)

25

5.8

(0/26 – 23/26)

30

Reds (Bye)

7

2.0

(0/25 – 24/25)

10 Responses to 2007 MLB Playoffs Beatpath Graph!

  1. John says:

    The Red Sox are in the top 5 of spending leaders in the league. Can’t remember exactly where. Yanks spend the most, then “I think” the Mets. Red Sox are probably 3rd. I believe the Yanks spent about 200 mil. and the Red Sox about 160 mil. on their salaries. However, if you take away the 50 mil they had to lay down JUST TO BID on Dice-K, the salary standings would drop dramatically for the Red Sox.

    But ya, they’ve had to put up some big bucks to compete with the yankees.

  2. JT says:

    Looks pretty good compared to records and consensus strengths. I imagine that there are tons of beatloops that came out of this, especially two team ones where Team A went 5-1 over Team B over the season, resulting in 5 2 team beatloops and one remaining beatpath (which may not stand up to longer beatloops).

    It does seem to match up with the NL Central being considered the weakest overall division this season, and the AL East being one of the toughest, at least in terms of top teams in the Red Sox and Yankees.

    The most weird thing is the NL West, where the Dodgers (3rd best record in the division) are tied with the Diamondbacks (best record in the division), while the Rockies are a bit ahead of them.

  3. JT says:

    Oh, and your ranking of teams that made the playoffs:

    1 Red Sox
    2 Yankees
    3 Indians
    4 Rockies
    5 Angels
    7 Diamondbacks
    9 Phillies
    19 Cubs

    If the playoffs go according to your rankings (higher ranked teams beating lower ranked ones), we would see the essentially tied Red Sox/Yankee victor beating the Rockies in the World Series.

  4. Jake says:

    One unusual aspect – the Rockies and Yankees are Wild Cards, but rank 2 and 3 in the rankings. The rankings also support the CW about AL dominance.

  5. Kenneth says:

    On the other hand, JT, there are no direct beatpaths between the Yankees, Red Sox, and Angels. So a more cautious observer might say that beatpaths has no opinion on which of those three teams will take the AL (it clearly thinks the Idndians will lose, however).

    Similarly, beatpaths is ambiguous about Diamondbacks/Rockies, although they are clearly both favored over the Phillies and Cubs.

    A World Series would be tough–the Diamondbacks would be screwed against the Red Sox or Yankees, but have a shot against the Angels (although perhaps the Angels getting to the WS would give them a beatpath over the Yankees or Red Sox, giving them the path over the Diamondbacks?), while the Rockies are a toss-up in any matchup.

    Whatever. This is why they play the games. I’d say go White Sox, but that probably won’t help anymore. šŸ™

  6. ThunderThumbs says:

    Blue Jays also had no beatlosses… sucks for them they were in such a good division.

  7. SB says:

    Playoff teams are ranked 1 – 5, 7, 9, and 19… further proving that the NL Central is terrible.

  8. JT says:

    That’s a good point, Kenneth. I was just looking at the rankings. At this point it may make sense to look at the season series between the teams teams, which is a luxury that is present in the baseball (especially when you’re talking about teams in the same league), but isn’t in football.

    In the case of the Red Sox, Yankees, and Angels, there were 37 games that featured two of these teams. But these in a small little graph by themselves, remove beatloops, and you get exactly one beatpath remaining, Angles -> Yankees, which represents 1 win. Add in Cleveland to get a AL playoff teams graph brings the total up to 60 games (the NFL through week 4 has played 62 games) and you basically add in direct and reinforced beatpaths from NY -> CLE and from BOS -> CLE.

    Overall, you end up with two beatpaths

    LAA -x1-> NYY -x6-> CLE
    BOX -x3-> CLE

    (x? is the number of times the beatpath is reinforced with direct head to head wins not offset by head to head losses).

    So by this, you could make the argument that the Angels or Boston are the better teams out of the AL.

    Doing the same thing in the National league (51 games between the 4 playoff teams due to there being more teams in the NL) leaves just one beatpath remaining:

    ARI -x4-> PHI

    With the Cubs and Rockies just floating off by themselves not connected to anyone.

    Since I’m doing this by hand and don’t have easy access to interleague results, I’m not going to add those in. About all that you can safely say from these results is that based on the regular season records, Cleveland and Philadelphia shouldn’t make the World Series, and Los Angeles has a slightly better chance of making it than New York.

  9. Kenneth says:

    # ThunderThumbs Says:
    Blue Jays also had no beatlossesā€¦ sucks for them they were in such a good division.

    I’ve gotten the feeling that that’s usually the case for the Blue Jays. They continually seem to field a decent team, somewhat better than average, but get crushed by the money-heavy juggernauts of New York and Boston.

    If they were in any other division, I think they would have made the playoffs once in the last 5 years.

  10. […] the games of Sat, Oct 6th, the rankings are still identical, with the following […]

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