Week 11′s picks uncovered some interesting dynamics in the graph, and some of the changes this week, such as San Diego’s collapse were somewhat predictable. The picks were 11-5 this week, another good week.

There are four splits: TEN/JAC, ATL/CAR, PHI/WAS, and SF/STL. On top of that, quite a few loops:

Loop: SEA=>TB=>NO=>SEA
Loop: ARI=>SEA=>TB=>ARI
Loop: ARI=>SEA=>SF=>ARI
Loop: SEA=>STL=>NO=>SEA
Loop: PIT=>BUF=>NYJ=>PIT
Loop: ARI=>PIT=>SF=>ARI
Loop: PIT=>CIN=>NYJ=>PIT
Loop: PIT=>BAL=>NYJ=>PIT
Loop: ARI=>PIT=>BAL=>ARI
Loop: DET=>CHI=>PHI=>DET
Loop: ARI=>DET=>TB=>ARI
Loop: ARI=>CIN=>BAL=>ARI
Loop: HOU=>KC=>SD=>HOU
Loop: ATL=>HOU=>NO=>ATL
Loop: NO=>JAC=>TB=>NO
Loop: CHI=>KC=>MIN=>CHI
Loop: CHI=>KC=>SD=>CHI
Loop: KC=>SD=>DEN=>KC
Loop: KC=>SD=>IND=>KC
Loop: CHI=>GB=>SD=>CHI
Loop: CHI=>GB=>MIN=>CHI
Loop: CHI=>PHI=>MIN=>CHI
Loop: SD=>IND=>JAC=>SD
Loop: HOU=>NO=>JAC=>HOU
Loop: OAK=>CLE=>SEA=>CHI=>OAK

And, here are the rankings:

Rank	Team	Notes	Last Week	BeatPower
1		(Beat BUF) Despite the dominance of the win, Buffalo is actually seen as a somewhat strong opponent for New England	2	100.0 (28/28 – 0/28)
2		(Beat WAS) Dallas’ victory over Washington was a good one. The top two teams also had monster games from their #1 wide receivers. Too bad New England has already taken the drama out of a potential matchup.	3	96.2 (25/26 – 1/26)
3		(Beat CAR) The flattening of the beatpaths graph means that Green Bay’s victories aren’t looking as strong as they used to, and they don’t get to play NFC East teams as often as the other NFC East teams do.	1	100.0 (26/26 – 0/26)
4		(Beat DET) The Giants hold steady after defeating Detroit.	4	88.9 (24/27 – 3/27)
5		(Beat KC) Indianapolis is able to climb again after shedding their beatloss to San Diego.	9	89.1 (19/23 – 1/23)
6		(Beat SD) Jacksonville is the newest team to have no beatlosses – they share the distinction with New England and Green Bay.	11	93.2 (19/22 – 0/22)
7		(Lost to DAL) Washington slips a couple on the loss to Dallas, mostly because the graph below them is more flattened.	5	83.3 (22/27 – 4/27)
8		(Lost to NYG) Detroit is pushed down by Washington and pushed up by Denver.	6	78.6 (21/28 – 5/28)
9		(Beat TEN) Denver rises into the top ten again. That said, it’ll be difficult for them to rise much further without other graph dynamics changing, as their future opponents are already ranked lower than Denver.	12	66.7 (17/27 – 8/27)
10		(Beat ATL) Tampa Bay holds steady after defeating Atlanta.	10	76.7 (10/15 – 2/15)
11		(Lost to IND) Kansas City rises despite the loss to Indianapolis, mostly because Jacksonville isn’t held down in the graph anymore.	15	64.3 (6/14 – 2/14)
12		(Beat OAK) Minnesota falls a few slots because their victory over San Diego isn’t keeping them afloat anymore.	7	46.4 (5/14 – 6/14)
13		(Lost to DEN) Tennessee holds steady on the loss. Watching this game, it appeared to me that the rest of the team is kind of letting Vince Young down. They need to do a better job for him.	13	47.4 (9/19 – 10/19)
14		(Lost to NYJ) Pittsburgh’s loss gets beatlooped away so it doesn’t hurt them this week. But it could hurt them in the future, and they do lose their beatwin over Buffalo. The media talks a lot about the AFC West being bad this year, but they’re really not – the AFC North is worse.	16	44.7 (7/19 – 9/19)
15		(Beat MIA) Philadelphia isn’t affected much by their victory – other graph dynamics bump them up a couple of slots.	17	40.0 (2/10 – 4/10)
16		(Lost to NE) Buffalo is able to rise a couple of slots due to the flattening graph – they shed their beatloss to Pittsburgh thanks to the Jets defeating Pittsburgh.	19	40.6 (6/16 – 9/16)
17		(Beat NO) Since Houston beat New Orleans, it shrinks a ATL->HOU->CAR->NO->ATL beatloop down to ATL->HOU->NO->ATL, which means that HOU->CAR->NO re-emerges. Neat. Houston also manages to shed their Jacksonville beatloss. Odd to remember that New Orleans beat Jacksonville.	18	40.5 (7/21 – 11/21)
18		(Lost to JAC) This is the biggest collapse of the week. San Diego knew that their victory over Indianapolis wasn’t quite satisfying, and now there is also less reinforcement below San Diego because Oakland doesn’t have a beatpath to Cleveland anymore. San Diego simply doesn’t have many quality beatwins.	8	33.3 (2/15 – 7/15)
19		(Beat BAL) For various reasons, a new beatloop has emerged that enabled Cleveland to shed their Oakland beatloss. Beating Baltimore was expected, but this enables Cleveland to rise a couple of spots.	22	36.1 (5/18 – 10/18)
20		(Lost to SEA) There used to be a CHI->OAK->CLE->SEA beatpath. Seattle’s win busts it apart, a big factor in flattening the bottom part of the graph this week.	14	26.9 (0/13 – 6/13)
21		(Beat CHI) Seattle manages to shed their beatloss to Cleveland, enabling them to rise a couple of slots. Their victory over Chicago is beatlooped away.	24	35.0 (4/20 – 10/20)
22		(Lost to GB) Carolina redevelops their beatpath over New Orleans, but it doesn’t help them much.	21	26.5 (4/17 – 12/17)
23		(Lost to ARI) Cincinnati isn’t hurt by their loss to Arizona – yet – but they only manage to rise a couple of slots thanks to Oakland and New Orleans sinking in the rankings.	25	21.1 (3/19 – 14/19)
24		(Lost to MIN) Oakland loses credit for their victory over Cleveland because of their earlier loss to Chicago, which is starting to hurt them more and make Oakland look worse.	20	13.2 (1/19 – 15/19)
25		(Lost to CLE) Baltimore with the expected loss to Cleveland. That said, this was definitely a close and entertainingly freaky loss.	26	15.8 (2/19 – 15/19)
26		(Beat CIN) Arizona manages to rise a couple more slots thanks to the graph flattening, but they still haven’t quite gotten over the hump. They’re very close though. I wonder if they might really shoot up the rankings at some point. Every year there are a couple of teams that have split personalities, where there’s a war between them to see which becomes dominant.	28	18.4 (1/19 – 13/19)
27		(Beat PIT) The Jets manage to shed their beatloss to Baltimore, which helps them rise a couple of slots and gives them more room to grow in the future.	29	16.7 (1/15 – 11/15)
28		(Lost to TB) No big change for Atlanta, with the expected loss.	27	15.6 (1/16 – 12/16)
29		(Lost to HOU) New Orleans collapses again. They had a great opportunity to help themselves (and Atlanta) while hurting Houston, but instead they bury themselves in the rankings again.	23	14.7 (1/17 – 13/17)
30		(Lost to PHI) These last three teams are basically tied because they don’t have beatwins, so there isn’t much of a tiebreaker to apply.	31	0.0 (0/21 – 21/21)
31		(Beat SF) St. Louis gets a win.	32	4.3 (0/23 – 21/23)
32		(Lost to STL) San Francisco doesn’t.	30	4.0 (0/25 – 23/25)