The picks should be pretty obvious from the rankings, but here is how the outcomes will affect the graph:
San Diego at NEW ENGLAND: New England has a beatwin over San Diego. If San Diego wins, they shed that beatwin to become the only other team without a beatloss. Interestingly, Tennessee would be the one other team not in New England’s beatpaths. The rankings would stay the same.
NY GIANTS at Green Bay: Neither team has a beatpath to the other, but the Giants are favored. If the Giants win, they get a season split with Green Bay, and it restores their beatwin over Chicago. Tiebreakers in this scenario actually makes Jacksonville look a bit better in the rankings. If Green Bay wins, it restores their beatwin over the Giants and they rise in the rankings, but still just behind Dallas.
I have an article for you to post if you’d like. It’s too long for a comment. Where should I send it?
Hey, I dropped you an email yesterday afternoon – you can reply to that.