Monthly Archives: September 2008

2008 NFL Week 4 Picks

Beatpaths was 10-6 last week, for a total record of 29-18. My “personal picks” that conflict with the Beatpaths picks were 1-1; I’m 2-3 so far. This looks like a semi-boring week, with several interesting teams having byes. Atlanta at CAROLINA: Carolina is highly favored over Atlanta. The two teams are playing for a beatpath, [...]

Errata, Week 3

I don’t seem to have to do this often, but here’s a bit of errata – since I was playing around with new tiebreakers, I forgot to put Week 2′s results into the system when I came up with Week 3. I’ve corrected it now, with three effects: Week 3 was 10-6, not 11-5. I [...]

2008 NFL Week 3 Beatpaths Rankings

Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat CIN) The Giants are finally atop the rankings, mostly due to the strength of Washington’s beatpath. 3 100.0 (13/13 – 0/13) 2 (Beat GB) Dallas retains the #2 spot, but for entirely different reasons – the strong beatpath to Philadelphia, and the less strong but still potentially [...]

2008 NFL Week 3 Discussion

Miscellaneous observations: Last week’s power rankings are 10-5 9-6 so far this week. The only two teams with beatpaths to every other team in their division: Denver and Arizona. #31 beat #1, with some awesome direct snap misdirection. And it’s time to start thinking of tiebreaker and rank strategies. There are two stages to determining [...]

2008 NFL Week 3 Picks

Beatpaths was 11-4 last week, for a total record of 19-12. My “personal picks” were 9-6 last week, for a total record of 18-13. As always, the CAPS are the official pick, although I will occasionally make a personal pick the other way (I’m 1-2 at them so far.) CAROLINA at Minnesota: And there’s already [...]

2008 NFL Week 2 Beatpaths Rankings

The beatpaths picks were 11-4 this week. I’m leaving on the vanilla tiebreaker for at least one more week, which refers to the previous week’s rankings in case of a tie. There are no beatloops yet, so the rankings respect the outcome of every game so far this season. Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower [...]

2008 NFL Week 2 Beatpath Graph

As Moose pointed out, a fully connected graph in Week 2. Next week is when it really gets fun, but it’s already interesting. Beatpaths picks were 11-4 this week. Don’t read much into the vertical placement, it’s graphviz that does it. Pittsburgh could just as easily be very low on the graph. The algorithm errs [...]