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Archive for September, 2008

September 30th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 4 Beatpaths Graph

Here’s the Beatpaths graph for Week 4. Horrible record this week of 6-7, lots of upsets – but quite an interesting graph.

One new beatloop this week: KC->DEN->OAK->KC.

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September 28th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 4 Discussion

What was it I was saying about this week being boring? A pile of points in New York, Kansas City wins, and at this moment I the scoreboard shows Oakland shutting out San Diego, St. Louis winning, and Washington ahead of Dallas…

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September 27th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 4 Picks

Beatpaths was 10-6 last week, for a total record of 29-18. My “personal picks” that conflict with the Beatpaths picks were 1-1; I’m 2-3 so far.
This looks like a semi-boring week, with several interesting teams having byes.
Atlanta at CAROLINA: Carolina is highly favored over Atlanta. The two teams are playing for a beatpath, [...]

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September 27th, 2008

Errata, Week 3

I don’t seem to have to do this often, but here’s a bit of errata – since I was playing around with new tiebreakers, I forgot to put Week 2’s results into the system when I came up with Week 3. I’ve corrected it now, with three effects:

Week 3 was 10-6, not 11-5. [...]

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September 24th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 3 Beatpaths Rankings

Rank
Team
Notes
Last Week
BeatPower

1

(Beat CIN) The Giants are finally atop the rankings, mostly due to the strength of Washington’s beatpath.

3

100.0
(13/13 – 0/13)

2

(Beat GB) Dallas retains the #2 spot, but for entirely different reasons – the strong beatpath to Philadelphia, and the less strong but still potentially impressive beatwin over Green Bay.

2

100.0
(8/8 – 0/8)

3

(Beat ARI) [...]

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September 22nd, 2008

2008 NFL Week 3 Beatpaths Graph

Here’s the Beatpaths graph for Week 3. This is the first week where things are starting to look clean. Beatpaths picks were 11-5 10-6 this week.
How about that NFC East, eh?

Two beatloops were removed: MIA->NE->NYJ->MIA, and MIN->CAR->CHI->IND->MIN .

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September 21st, 2008

2008 NFL Week 3 Discussion

Miscellaneous observations:
Last week’s power rankings are 10-5 9-6 so far this week.
The only two teams with beatpaths to every other team in their division: Denver and Arizona.
#31 beat #1, with some awesome direct snap misdirection.
And it’s time to start thinking of tiebreaker and rank strategies.
There are two stages to determining rankings. First is the [...]

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September 19th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 3 Picks

Beatpaths was 11-4 last week, for a total record of 19-12. My “personal picks” were 9-6 last week, for a total record of 18-13. As always, the CAPS are the official pick, although I will occasionally make a personal pick the other way (I’m 1-2 at them so far.)
CAROLINA at Minnesota: And there’s [...]

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September 17th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 2 Beatpaths Rankings

The beatpaths picks were 11-4 this week. I’m leaving on the vanilla tiebreaker for at least one more week, which refers to the previous week’s rankings in case of a tie. There are no beatloops yet, so the rankings respect the outcome of every game so far this season.

Rank
Team
Notes
Last Week
BeatPower

1

(Beat NYJ) Until I [...]

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September 16th, 2008

2008 NFL Week 2 Beatpath Graph

As Moose pointed out, a fully connected graph in Week 2. Next week is when it really gets fun, but it’s already interesting. Beatpaths picks were 11-4 this week.
Don’t read much into the vertical placement, it’s graphviz that does it. Pittsburgh could just as easily be very low on the graph. [...]

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