2008 NFL Week 2 Beatpaths Rankings

The beatpaths picks were 11-4 this week. I’m leaving on the vanilla tiebreaker for at least one more week, which refers to the previous week’s rankings in case of a tie. There are no beatloops yet, so the rankings respect the outcome of every game so far this season.

Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower

1

(Beat NYJ) Until I turn on other tiebreakers, the Patriots will remain ranked #1 until and unless they lose.

1

100.0

(3/3 – 0/3)

2

(Beat PHI) McNabb throws a glorious deep ball, doesn’t he? And I’ve been down on the NFC East in previous seasons, but seems that they might actually be worth the ink this season.

2

100.0

(3/3 – 0/3)

3

(Beat STL) It’s worth noting that if I had turned on the same tiebreaker I had used last week – the beatstrength of each team’s beatwins – the NY Giants would be ranked #1 this week. On the other hand, Washington would be ranked #3.

3

100.0

(6/6 – 0/6)

4

(Beat CIN) I think the whole Vince Young saga is a little weirder when you’re only paying half-attention to it. I clicked on the tube and saw Deion Sanders acting disgusted about Vince Young’s “mama” holding a press conference for him… and promptly felt thankful I didn’t know much more about it.

4

100.0

(2/2 – 0/2)

5

(Beat DET) Green Bay rises a slot thanks to Jacksonville losing to Buffalo. Looked like a crazy game – did Detroit actually do an impression of a good team there for a little while?

6

100.0

(2/2 – 0/2)

6

(Beat SD) Yeah, the Chargers got hosed by the rules. Cutler basically gets to borrow some mystique and confidence here. That fascinates me. If the call had gone the other way, he would have been the guy with two end zone turnovers at the end of the game. Now, he’s the guy who shook off the fumble for an amazingly clutch touchdown pass and two-point conversion. It sounds like he would have been able to handle the disappointment anyway, but who knows what momentum this gives his performance in the future.

7

100.0

(3/3 – 0/3)

7

(Lost to DAL) Philadelphia was already ranked behind Dallas, and climbs due to Jacksonville’s loss.

8

50.0

(1/2 – 1/2)

8

(Beat CLE) Weird to see Michael Phelps all over the tube this weekend. He doesn’t look the same away from the pool.

9

100.0

(2/2 – 0/2)

9

(Bye) Houston comes off an unfortunately forced bye, still ranked in the top ten.

10

0.0

(0/1 – 1/1)

10

(Beat CHI) Read some great commentary about Carolina, about how they proved to Diva Smith that they can win without him, and how this might really help team chemistry this year.

11

100.0

(4/4 – 0/4)

11

(Lost to DEN) Seems the Chargers have basically adjusted in the days after the loss, but I was particularly impressed with Philip Rivers in the immediate aftermath. He seemed to get perspective the quickest. And it’s true, if San Diego is better than the outcome of these first two matches, that’ll eventually show itself through the rest of their wins and losses.

12

0.0

(0/2 – 2/2)

12

(Lost to PIT) Did Romeo ever explain his field goal decision? I suppose I can imagine some cases where you might elect for fewer points quicker just so you have more time later, but is this guy thinking it through?

13

0.0

(0/2 – 2/2)

13

(Lost to CAR) Take it away, Kenneth!

14

66.7

(2/3 – 1/3)

14

(Beat MIN) Reading various commentary, it seemed so unanimous – Minnesota being a win-now team with a development (charitably put) quarterback. I’m curious what kind of team they’ll be with Frerotte. He’s… at least, not bad.

15

33.3

(1/3 – 2/3)

15

(Beat JAC) Under the later season tiebreaker, you’d probably see Buffalo (and maybe Jacksonville) ranked higher than this, but as it is, Buffalo has a lot of past history to work through. This is an example of how last season is still heavily biasing these rankings, even if we aren’t taking any of last season’s actual beatpaths into account.

16

100.0

(2/2 – 0/2)

16

(Lost to BUF) Football Outsiders is saying that Garrard’s additional interceptions are a regression to the mean from his uncommon performance last season. I’ve never really liked that, statistics are for groups, not individuals. Why can’t it just be that he’s a really good quarterback that makes extremely good decisions when he’s given the time to make them?

5

0.0

(0/2 – 2/2)

17

(Beat NO) The narrative for Washington seems to change on a dime, much like their quarterback’s performance.

20

80.0

(4/5 – 1/5)

18

(Lost to WAS) New Orleans comes to Denver, and apparently, they have a bad secondary. This could be another high scoring offensive game on both sides, though.

18

60.0

(3/5 – 2/5)

19

(Beat ATL) All right, so I was wrong about Atlanta. Wrong, wrong, wrong. Tampa Bay smashed them good.

19

40.0

(2/5 – 3/5)

20

(Lost to IND) Minnesota loses, but rises two because of the bad losses by Seattle and Kansas City.

22

0.0

(0/4 – 4/4)

21

(Bye) The other forced bye of the week, although they were able to relax more than Houston was.

23

100.0

(1/1 – 0/1)

22

(Lost to TEN) How is it that this team has actually gotten worse these last couple of years, other than the attitude of their players? I still remember the team that wasn’t great defensively but was awesome at getting interceptions, with a powerful offense.

24

0.0

(0/2 – 2/2)

23

(Lost to NE) No big penalty for losing to New England, but they have a lot of ground to make up.

25

50.0

(1/2 – 1/2)

24

(Beat KC) Coach Ryan just looks like a Raiders coach, doesn’t he? And after reading up a bit more, yeah, it does seem like the game outcome might be more about Kansas City being that bad, than Oakland being pretty good.

26

50.0

(1/2 – 1/2)

25

(Lost to OAK) I’m used to feeling like Kansas City has an image or a personality… I don’t have a feel for this team at all this year.

21

0.0

(0/3 – 3/3)

26

(Beat MIA) An extremely low-ranked 2-0 team.

27

100.0

(3/3 – 0/3)

27

(Beat SEA) I really miss the dome in Seattle.

28

50.0

(1/2 – 1/2)

28

(Lost to SF) Seattle gets punished rather severely for losing to San Francisco.

17

0.0

(0/3 – 3/3)

29

(Lost to TB) Back to reality for Atlanta (and me).

29

20.0

(1/5 – 4/5)

30

(Lost to GB) I swear, I really do think Detroit was pretty good there for a while sometime last season. I don’t know what happened.

30

0.0

(0/6 – 6/6)

31

(Lost to ARI) What are the chances of Miami improving any this year? Is this more likely a 2-3 year program before they start seeing good results?

31

0.0

(0/3 – 3/3)

32

(Lost to NYG) These guys just don’t seem to make it any harder for their opponents to win. Total autopilot right now.

32

0.0

(0/3 – 3/3)

2 Responses to 2008 NFL Week 2 Beatpaths Rankings

  1. Kenneth says:

    Chicago has all the makings of a championship contender except for a downfield passing game. Right now, Kyle Orton looks like Chad Pennington from 2-3 years ago–smart, accurate, makes the good reads, avoids mistakes, but can’t put the ball further than 15 yards or so. That’s too bad, because that will hurt the running game by keeping the opposing safeties close to the line, and it will hurt the defense by not giving them any slack. The defense and running game might be good enough to cover for it, but it would really help things if Orton could figure that out in the next few weeks.

    I didn’t see GB-DET as it happened, since GB was up by like 20 and SD-DEN was interesting; but as far as I can tell, GB had trouble running down the clock and Calvin Johnson is a beast, which let Detroit make a small comeback. Still freaky to see the GB lead go from ~20 to -1 to ~20 again. Staying on Detroit, they started out hot last year but against the weaker part of their schedule, and collapsed down the stretch.

    Have fun against NO. My guess is that without Colston they don’t have the horses to keep up in a shootout, but who knows.

  2. The Lions had a terrible pass defense last year, and played a lot of teams with weak passing games early (I think the only team with a high-rated passing game they beat was the Broncos).

    As for the Packers — the defense seems to go soft at times. Note last week, they let the Vikings score two late touchdowns after holding them to 6 points for 2.5 quarters.

    D∈T

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