2008 NFL Week 12 Beatpaths Rankings

Bonjour again, my beatpath ranking fans! Kenneth here handling ranking commentary once again. I was adequate enough at this last week to go around twice. This week, I actually attended a game in person (STL-CHI), which was fun but means I didn’t get to see as much of what went on around the NFL. Still, here’s what I got for you.

Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower

1

(Beat TEN) You beat the best, you get to be the best.

Or rather, you beat the undefeated, you get to be the best. Hrm, this was a lot snappier post before I remembered that Carolina was the top dog last week.

3

100.0

(24/24 – 0/24)

2

(Beat ARI) The Giants are still suffering from that CLE loss, but at least the Browns hadn’t lost to the Cardinals–which means the Giants get to keep this win, and rise to a place more in line with most people’s opinion of them.

10

96.0

(23/25 – 0/25)

3

(Lost to NYJ) You lose one game, and it ends up being a beatloss. Meanwhile, your conqueror has 3 losses, but they all get beatlooped away. Almost seems unfair.

2

95.2

(20/21 – 1/21)

4

(Lost to ATL) Losing to the Falcons causes a split between them and a loss of a beatwin, but the Panthers keep their beatwin over the Cardinals, so they stay propped up near the top.

1

94.0

(22/25 – 0/25)

5

(Lost to NYG) The Cardinals appear to be a strong team beatpath-wise, but are directly under 3 of the top 4 teams. With only 5 games left in the regular season, I don’t know if it’s possible for them to get out from under those teams.

4

86.0

(21/25 – 3/25)

6

(Beat SF) This win actually gets looped away because of Dallas’ loss to STL, but the Cowboys continue to look strong, mostly due to their win over TB that is still holding up.

5

80.8

(20/26 – 4/26)

7

(Beat DET) At some point at the Edward Jones Dome on Sunday, I decided to watch the scoreboard sign for awhile to see what was going on around the league. I remember seeing the Lions up 17-0 and thinking there was something very wrong with the world.

6

75.9

(19/27 – 5/27)

8

(Beat SEA) The win over Seattle is nice, but meaningless. The real value comes from New Orleans’ rise after thrashing the Pack. The Saints are providing a nice floor for the Redskins.

14

90.0

(20/25 – 0/25)

9

(Beat GB) Right now, the Saints have a win over TB that is erasing a lot of their mistakes. That should make this week’s game very interesting.

15

87.5

(19/24 – 1/24)

10

(Beat CAR) The Falcons rank last in their division, but still 10th overall, mostly due to the “NFC South pwns the NFC North” effect.

8

91.3

(19/23 – 0/23)

11

(Lost to NO) I’ve seen worse blowouts…like the one the Packers gave to the Bears last week.

9

63.8

(18/29 – 10/29)

12

(Beat STL) The last time I saw the Bears at the Rams, the place was full of Bears fans and they were making noise. This year, the Bears fans were still there but the energy wasn’t. I guess there’s no satisfaction in beating up on the Rams this year.

11

60.0

(17/30 – 11/30)

13

(Beat SD) Colts get a beatpath to San Diego, but don’t move much because they’re still stuck under the top of the NFC North. It would probably really help them if the Texans won those games later this year.

12

56.7

(16/30 – 12/30)

14

(Beat PHI) Nothing much changes for Baltimore–the win over Philly is looped away by a BAL=>PHI=>PIT=>BAL loop, and they pretty much stay where they were in the rankings.

13

48.1

(12/27 – 13/27)

15

(Beat CIN) On the other hand, everything changes for Pittsburgh, who loses a quality beatwin due to that aforementioned loop, and drops down to the middle of the pack.

7

83.3

(12/18 – 0/18)

16

(Beat JAC) There’s nothing like the feeling of wanting to scream at a team and have no idea why, which is how I felt watching the MIN-JAC score at the game (full disclosure, if you haven’t figured it out yet: I’m a Bears fan). The Viking’s win loops away their loss to the Colts, but they don’t have any more support than they did last week, so they don’t move anywhere.

16

70.6

(9/17 – 2/17)

17

(Beat CLE) As TT thought, this win changes nothing. The bottom half of the graph/rankings were actually pretty stable this week; mostly minor shifts, and nobody below rank 16 moved above that rank.

17

34.6

(8/26 – 16/26)

18

(Lost to NE) The season split costs the Dolphins one of their beatwins, but they hold strong with beatwins over Denver and Buffalo.

18

31.5

(7/27 – 17/27)

19

(Lost to BAL) I didn’t see this game in real time, and I guess McNabb was playing terribly. Still, to make that change when you’re only down a field goal? That doesn’t make sense to me.

19

59.1

(3/11 – 1/11)

20

(Lost to HOU) Lose to Houston, don’t get a beatloss, stay where you are. Yawn.

21

35.4

(7/24 – 14/24)

21

(Beat MIA) I don’t want to rain on the parade of New Englanders who want to re-sign Cassel and dump Brady, or teams looking to sign him as a free agent (Vikings, I’m looking at you). But I do want to note that at this time last year, we all thought that Derek Anderson was the real deal, too.

22

28.6

(4/21 – 13/21)

22

(Lost to IND) The Chargers seem to be the kings of the tough loss this season. Doesn’t matter in the standings, but they seem to be a few bad hops from having a much better record.

20

20.0

(2/20 – 14/20)

23

(Beat KC) The Bills add a beatwin to the Chiefs, which is kind of like putting your highschool lawnmowing job on your resume when you’re 30.

23

24.1

(5/27 – 19/27)

24

(Lost to DAL) I’m not really sure why this team rose 6 spots while losing a beatpath (their win over STL was looped away by the DAL loss). I’m also not sure why everyone says they got killed–I didn’t see the game, but it seemed like they were playing alright against the Cowboys, considering that they’re the 49ers.

30

11.1

(1/18 – 15/18)

25

(Beat DEN) If this game seems shocking to you, consider this: the Raiders have also beat the Jets. This year.

26

12.5

(1/20 – 16/20)

26

(Lost to PIT) Losing to Pittsburgh doesn’t really hurt them; they were expected to lose.

24

5.6

(0/18 – 16/18)

27

(Lost to OAK) Whether you measure teams by the standard or iterative beatpath method, by subjective observation or hardcore statistical analysis, I think we can all agree that the Broncos did not really need a loss to the Raiders.

25

12.5

(0/24 – 18/24)

28

(Lost to MIN) On one sense, the fact that Matt Jones is giving the Jaguars a real receiving threat should make Jaguar fans optimistic, as it solves the one remaining flaw the offense had coming into this year. But then, to believe that you’d have to believe that the line and running game will bounce back after a fluke down year.

28

8.7

(1/23 – 20/23)

29

(Lost to WAS) This loss actually gets looped away due to their win over the Rams (who actually beat the Redskins, believe it or not). So nothing really changes, which is not a good thing for the Seahawks.

29

4.3

(0/23 – 21/23)

30

(Lost to CHI) The only thing I can figure about the Ram’s two wins is that Steven Jackson was in them and was a monster. The team definitely doesn’t look like they’re trying now.

31

6.2

(0/24 – 21/24)

31

(Lost to BUF) Losing to Buffalo hurts, but Oakland splitting their series with DEN means they also get their win over KC back; a double whammy for the Chiefs.

27

2.1

(0/24 – 23/24)

32

(Lost to TB) I kind of feel like Calvin Johnson has already skipped to the Oakland phase of Randy Moss’ career. I can’t say I blame him. In any case, while he looks good, he can’t carry this team by himself.

32

0.0

(0/24 – 24/24)

3 Responses to 2008 NFL Week 12 Beatpaths Rankings

  1. ThunderThumbs says:

    heh. high school mowing job. nice. 🙂

  2. […] I take the standard picks for Week 13, and then compare the BeatPower numbers for each team from the most recent rankings. The greater the difference between the two teams’ Beatpower, the great “confidence” the model has in making the pick. […]

  3. […] Continuing to track the stability of the rankings from week to week, here are the numbers based on the Week 12 rankings. […]

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