Monthly Archives: December 2008

Pick Confidence – Week 16

Tom here with the “confidence” rankings of this week’s picks, based on comparing the BeatPower scores of each match-up: Matchup(Winner-Loser) “Confidence”(out of 100) BeatPower comparison(predicted winner – predicted loser) Result NY Jets-Seattle 93.9 97.9-4.0 WRONG Tampa Bay-San Diego 70.5 88.0-17.5 WRONG Indianapolis-Jacksonville 63.2 71.2-8.0 CORRECT Denver-Buffalo 60.2 81.6-21.4 WRONG New Orleans-Detroit 41.7 41.7-0.0 CORRECT Houston-Oakland [...]

2008 NFL Week 16 Picks

Thursday again, and the weeks keep seeming to get shorter. The picks were 9-7 last week, for a total record of 135-88-1. I was 0-2 on the personal picks, since I picked both Arizona and the NY Giants – this brings me back to even on the year, at 16-16. INDIANAPOLIS at Jacksonville: Indianapolis has [...]

Ranking Stability – Week 15

Looks like the rankings have calmed down again this week. No “big movers” (teams moving 10+ ranks). The top and bottom of the rankings seem fairly stable this week (although Carolina and Denver switched places), while the middle saw most of the turmoil (the majority of which was leapfrogged by Chicago). Despite a number of [...]

2008 NFL Week 15 Beatpaths Rankings

If it’s Wednesday night, then it must be time for beatpath rankings! More shifting around this week, with another team leaping boldly to the top spot. Let’s get on with it! Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat DEN) I know, I was surprised by this too. Carolina’s win over Denver removed their beatloss [...]

Ranking Confidence – Week 15

Tom here with the “confidence” rankings of this week’s picks, based on comparing the BeatPower scores of each match-up: Matchup(Winner-Loser) “Confidence”(out of 100) BeatPower comparison(predicted winner – predicted loser) Result Indianapolis-Detroit 76.1 76.1-0.0 CORRECT NY Jets-Buffalo 74.8 97.9-23.1 CORRECT New England-Oakland 51.3 60.7-9.4 CORRECT Washington-Cincinnati 46.2 50.0-3.8 WRONG Tennessee-Houston 45.7 95.7-50.0 WRONG Philadelphia-Cleveland 31.2 73.3-42.1 [...]

2008 NFL Week 15 Picks

Happy Thursday! The picks were 9-7 last week, for a total record of 115-76-1 126-81-1 (sorry, forgot week 14′s picks). I was 1-0 on the personal picks, or 16-14 for the year. UPDATE: The rest of the picks are in place now. A quick look at how CHI->NO changed the rankings – the top 6 [...]

Ranking Stability – Week 14

Another week of rising instability in the rankings. Two “big movers” this week (teams that jump 10 or more slots in the rankings). The Redskins collapsed from #6 to #19 after losing to the Ravens—the loss erased their win over New Orleans, which had propped them up in the rankings. Meanwhile, the Broncos leapt from [...]

2008 NFL Week 14 Beatpaths Rankings

Hi ho BeatPath fans! Kenneth back with the commentary, and if you thought previous weeks had controversy, well, you haven’t seen anything yet! Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat KC) And thus our proprietor achieves his goals with beatpaths, and gets the Broncos ranked on top. No, kidding. But how did the Broncos [...]

2008 NFL Week 14 – Divisions

Playing around with divisions this week. Since hidden lines are more important, I start with a full graph of the week: And then I start with the divisions, starting with the NFC South like last time. The first rev has some extraneous stuff in it: But I’ll clean that up after doing the rest of [...]