Tom here with the confidence rankings for the four divisional playoff games this week:
(out of 100)
(predicted winner – predicted loser)
Like last week, the BeatPower comparisons of the matchups produces picks that diverge from the conventional wisdom. The system is most confident about Pittsburgh beating San Diego, whereas most spreads seem to think that Carolina has the largest expected margin of victory over Arizona. BeatPower gives Tennessee the edge here, while a number of other assessments seem to give Baltimore the edge—although in either case, no one seems to be predicting a blow-out by either team. Finally, I think BeatPower captures the NY Giants-Philadelphia matchup well, with only a very slim preference for the NY Giants. Given their previous season split, injuries, and intense, long-standing division rivalry, there are few analysts taking a strong stance either way on this game.