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Archive for February, 2009

February 3rd, 2009

2008 NFL Season End Beatpaths Graph

And this is it – Pittsburgh reinforces a beatpath over Arizona, for no real change in the graph. This is how the entire 2008 season looked.
Offseason retrospective possibly coming soon.

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February 1st, 2009

Pick Confidence – Super Bowl

Tom here with the confidence ranking for the Super Bowl:

Matchup(Winner-Loser)
“Confidence”(out of 100)
BeatPower comparison(predicted winner – predicted loser)
Result

Pittsburgh-Arizona
12.5
85.7-73.2
CORRECT

Beatpaths has a 3-7 pick record in the post-season. One notable difference between the regular season picks and the post-season picks is that very few of the post-season picks are high confidence. Of the ten games played [...]

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February 1st, 2009

Ranking Stability – Conference Championships

Philadelphia’s loss to Arizona knocks the props out from under them and they tumble. Their win over Arizona was what what holding them up in the rankings, and without it they cause most of the ranking changes.

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February 1st, 2009

2008 NFL Conference Beatpaths Rankings

Hey Folks. Kenneth here, just hours away from the big game, and I’m here with the rankings as they are going into the game. There may not be much to say about every team, but I’ll try to explain what there is.
Also, don’t think this game is meaningless in the final graph. [...]

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