Here’s a review of Isaacson-Tarbell, which we should compare our picking schemes against this season.
Isaacson-Tarbell is “picking for idiots”. And it’s pretty bulletproof – it seems most pick experts can’t outperform it. The picking rules are: Pick the team with the better win-loss record. If they’re tied, pick the home team.
Isaacson-Tarbell was 9-7 for week one. I am thinking of using a variant of Isaacson-Tarbell, perhaps called Isaacson-Tarbell-Beatpaths (ITB) for this season. This is – pick the team with the better win-loss record. If they’re tied, pick the team that is ranked higher according to beatpaths. Last season, beatpaths outperformed the home-team-wins approach, so I’m hoping I’ll be able to beat Isaacson-Tarbell this season.
For week 1 (where no one had a better win-loss record), I relied on beatpaths rankings, so we’re consistent with this approach. Beatpaths had an 11-5 record, or two better than Isaacson-Tarbell.