Time for the Week 7 picks!
All methods were 10-4 last week – however, I picked Seattle, so I was 9-5, and thus only two ahead of ITB for the season. The BeatPicks were 3-1, or 11-2 for the season. There are five BeatPicks this week, and I’m not making any personal picks this week.
Once again, the beatpicks are: If there is a beatpath, pick the favored team. Otherwise, pick the team with the best win-loss record. If they’re the same, pick who beatpaths favors in the beatpath rankings. An (x) means you might want to consider the home team.
|Record So Far||57-33||64-26||63-27|
|Green Bay (3-2) at Cleveland (1-5): Maybe someone can fill me in on Green Bay – I have it drummed into my head that Green Bay is supposed to be much better than they apparently have been this last season and a half. But at any rate, they are still unanimously favored ahead of Cleveland.||GB||GB||GB|
|San Francisco (3-2) at Houston (3-3): Not quite sure what to make of Houston given their win over Cincinnati, but I’m not going to personally pick against a BeatPick. Besides, I don’t think I’ve seen Houston string together two out-performances in a row.||SF||SF*||SF|
|San Diego (2-3) at Kansas City (1-5): Rather than jump on the bandwagons that say Dallas and Washington must be pretty bad to have trouble with Kansas City, I’m jumping on the bandwagon that says Kansas City is officially a dangerous team. The schadenfreudist in me is very curious to see what would happen if Kansas City pulls this out – but once again, I can’t personally pick against a BeatPick.||SD||SD*||SD|
|Indianapolis (5-0) at St. Louis (0-6): I’m personally going to pick St. Louis in this game. Just kidding.||IND||IND*||IND|
|New England (4-2) at Tampa Bay (0-6): Ahoy guv’nor! What a spectacle this should be.||NE||NE*||NE|
|Minnesota (6-0) at Pittsburgh (4-2): I think the conventional-wisdom people have the same problem with Pittsburgh that I do with Green Bay. On the other hand, they have Polamalu back. On the other hand, Minnesota seems to be on more of an escaping streak than a winning streak. But I’m too much on the fence to go against the official pick here.||MIN||MIN||MIN|
|Buffalo (2-4) at Carolina (2-3): This is the closest pick of week – I’ve personally been lucky with Carolina, but this week the system is in agreement with me – a unanimous pick for Carolina (and not by much).||CAR||CAR||CAR|
|NY Jets (3-3) at Oakland (2-4): Two weirdly inconsistent teams. The NY Jets, just like last season, have a good team that is overlooked due to their quarterback drama. Same with Oakland, except that they’re a bad team. Once in a while they can pull it together, though, so who knows what will happen this week. NY Jets have the edge due to a more disciplined history.||NYJ||NYJ||NYJ|
|Chicago (3-2) at Cincinnati (4-2): We actually have a disagreeing pick here – Beatpaths picks Chicago, while the official pick is Cincinnati.||CIN||CHI||CIN|
|Atlanta (4-1) at Dallas (3-2): All three methods agree that Atlanta is the clear pick here, based off of season performance so far. This is a great opportunity for Dallas to turn their season around.||ATL||ATL||ATL|
|New Orleans (5-0) at Miami (2-3): Miami has a lot of room in their possible rankings, and this game could be closer than expected. Still, a unanimous pick for New Orleans.||NO||NO||NO|
|Arizona (3-2) at NY Giants (5-1): Another opportunity for a unexpectedly close game. The beatpath graph shows that the NY Giants haven’t really established themselves.||NYG||NYG||NYG|
|Philadelphia (3-2) at Washington (2-4): This is a much clearer game – Philadelphia has a beatpath to Washington, making this a BeatPick, and it’s a unanimous pick for Philadelphia.||PHI||PHI*||PHI|