Hey everyone, Tom here. Last week I introduced three different ways of looking at the Beatpaths rankings as a whole system: Stability of the rankings; Using BeatPower to assess the system’s confidence in picking the winner of a given matchup; and, Looking backwards to see how well each team’s rank ‘predicts’ its past record. Stability [...]
Kenneth here again folks! And yay, we’ve got a beatloop this week! That’s fortunate, because it’s kind of the reason for this site. I mean, if there weren’t any beatloops we’d call it…uh…well, something else. Whatever, let’s just go to the rankings. Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat NE) There’s actually a slightly [...]
It took a long time – all the way to the last game of Week 5 – but Miami’s upset of the NY Jets gives us our first beatloop of the season: ATL->MIA->NYJ->NE->ATL For those new here, here’s the explanation. We always look for the smallest beatloop possible. The point is not to judge that [...]
Time for the Week 5 picks. We had yet another good week of picks last week – I’m thinking we’ve got to start regressing to the mean here shortly, but I think part of it is that the season has been pretty darn predictable so far. If anyone has a summary on how other pickers [...]
Hi folks, Tom here. Last season I did a series of posts looking at the rankings produced by the Beatpaths system, and trying to determine what information we could glean from them. I looked for two things: Did the Beatpaths system arrive at more accurate rankings as the season progressed? And, Does the BeatPower score [...]
So, good set of games this week, huh? I mean, sure, some stinkers too, but overall a lot of excitement. Let’s get to the rankings! Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat GB) Beating the Packers gives the Vikings more teams under them, so they vault over the Broncos. It is getting very hard [...]
Another week with no beatloops! It certainly seems that beatloops have happened sooner in past seasons. So far, every single game outcome is reflected in the graph. In Week 4, Isaacson-Tarbell was 11-3 to lead all methods. Beatpaths and ITB were both 9-5. My two personal picks were correct, so I was also 11-3, or [...]
Time for the Week 4 picks. We’re finally off and running here – we’ve picked our tiebreaker for the season, our pick methods, and we’ve got some guest authors lined up to help out Thanks Tom and Kenneth for being on the team again! We had another pretty good week of picks in Week 3 [...]