Time for the Week 14 picks!
Isaacson-Tarbell was 12-4 last week, leading all variants. Beatpaths was 10-6 and ITB was 11-5. I was 1-3 on my personal picks, so I’m now one ahead of ITB for the season. The BeatPicks were 5-1, or 50-19 for the season. There are nine BeatPicks this week, and I will personally pick Cincinnati.
Once again, the beatpicks are: If there is a beatpath, pick the favored team. Otherwise, pick the team with the best win-loss record. If they’re the same, pick who beatpaths favors in the beatpath rankings. An (x) means you might want to consider overruling in favor of the home team.
| Isaacson-Tarbell | Beatpaths | Isaacson-Tarbell-Beatpaths | |
| Record So Far | 132-76 | 139-69 | 137-71 |
| Last Week | 12-4 | 10-6 | 11-5 |
| Indianapolis (13-0) at Jacksonville (7-7): Indianapolis is a unanimous pick and a BeatPick over Jacksonville. | IND | IND* | IND |
| Dallas (8-5) at New Orleans (13-1): New Orleans is a unanimous pick over Dallas, but it’s actually not a BeatPick. If I had managed to put this up before the actual Saturday afternoon game, I would have said I thought Dallas had a real chance against New Orleans and that New Orleans was ready to blink. But given home field advantage I wouldn’t have personally picked Dallas. | NO | NO | NO |
| Miami (7-6) at Tennessee (6-7): Miami is a unanimous pick and a BeatPick over Tennessee. I think there is a real beatloop opportunity here, but Miami has a more realistic shot at getting in the playoffs as Tennessee, so there shouldn’t be a letup. | MIA | MIA* | MIA |
| Houston (6-7) at St Louis (1-12): Houston is a unanimous pick and a BeatPick over St. Louis. | HOU | HOU | HOU |
| Atlanta (6-7) at NY Jets (7-6): Isaacson-Tarbell picks the NY Jets due to the better record, but Beatpaths picks Atlanta. Since it is a BeatPick, Atlanta is the official ITB pick. This is the first game of the season where the NFL’s playoff-seeding procedure unfairly affects things – Atlanta just got mathematically eliminated from the playoffs so they will likely not be playing as hard, while the NY Jets are playing for the playoffs. | NYJ | ATL* | ATL |
| Cleveland (2-11) at Kansas City (3-10): Flip the records and this is a hell of a game! Cleveland actually has a beatpath to Kansas City, which overrules IT picking KC. | KC | CLE* | CLE |
| Arizona (8-5) at Detroit (2-11): Arizona is a unanimous pick and BeatPick over Detroit. | ARI | ARI* | ARI |
| New England (8-5) at Buffalo (5-8): New England is a unanimous pick and a distant, distant BeatPick over Buffalo. | NE | NE* | NE |
| Cincinnati (9-4) at San Diego (10-3): San Diego is a unanimous pick and a BeatPick over Cincinnati. I will personally pick Cincinnati. | SD | SD* | SD |
| Oakland (4-9) at Denver (8-5): No BeatPick here because of prior beatloops, but Denver is ranked comfortably ahead of Oakland. A unanimous pick. | DEN | DEN | DEN |
| Tampa Bay (1-12) at Seattle (5-8): Seattle is a unanimous pick and a BeatPick over Tampa Bay. | SEA | SEA* | SEA |
| Green Bay (9-4) at Pittsburgh (6-7): No BeatPick here, and the two teams are closely ranked, close enough that home field might be a consideration. It’s a unanimous pick for Green Bay, though. | GB | GB(x) | GB |
| San Francisco (6-7) at Philadelphia (9-4): This is a unanimous pick and a BeatPick for Philadelphia. | PHI | PHI* | PHI |
| Chicago (5-8) at Baltimore (7-6): No BeatPick here – Baltimore is a unanimous pick over Chicago, though. | BAL | BAL | BAL |
| Minnesota (11-2) at Carolina (5-8): Strange that there is no BeatPick here, given the records. But it shows that Minnesota hasn’t played the toughest record. Still, Minnesota is a unanimous pick. | MIN | MIN | MIN |
| NY Giants (7-6) at Washington (4-9): No BeatPick here either, but the NY Giants are unanimously favored over Washington. | NYG | NYG | NYG |
For the first time since the early season, there’s no difference in the picks between iterative and standard, although many more of the picks are beatpicks in iterative.