Ranking Analysis – Divisional Round

Hey folks, Tom here with the ranking analysis for last week’s divisional round playoff games. No big movers this week, and the overall numbers stay quite the same as last week.


As you can see, the stability remains the same as last week, which is expected given the small number of games, and the absorption of upset wins last week by beatloops. Because there’s no big mover this week (a team moving 10+ ranks) you can see that the variance has gone down compared to last week. This week has the lowest variance of any week this season. Given that there are only two games coming up this Sunday, we might expect even lower numbers for stability and variance, especially if there are no upsets.

Pick Confidence – Conference Championships

Last week the two low confidence picks were upsets, while the two high confidence picks went as expected. This week the higher confidence pick is Indianapolis over the NY Jets, while the matchup the system sees as closer is New Orleans over Minnesota.

Matchup
(Winner-Loser)
“Confidence”
(out of 100)
EdgePower comparison
(predicted winner – predicted loser)
Result
Indianapolis-NY Jets 21.77 81.45-59.68
New Orleans-Minnesota 17.74 83.06-65.32

As usual, I’ll return to fill in the results as they roll in.

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