Beatpaths

And, here we are, closing the books on another NFL season! This one has a much more satisfying outcome than last season, when the NY Jets was making everyone here gnash their teeth. Although I would argue that this season repairs last season a bit, as both the NY Jets and Brett Favre ended up [...]

As Kenneth and Tom have shown, New Orleans is very slightly favored in the Super Bowl by the Beatpaths system. There’s no beatpath relationship between the two teams, however, and Indianapolis had the better record with one more win – Isaacson-Tarbell picks Indianapolis. So the ITB pick is Indianapolis.
Now that it’s 3rd and 5 in [...]

Hey folks, Tom here with the analysis of ranking changes from the conference championship games. No big movers based on the results of the championships.

The graph is getting more stable, mostly as a function of fewer games being played each week. Few upsets means that the ranking changes result in much less variance.
Pick [...]

Here you go, guys! The last rankings before the final ones! There is actually some movement this week, although nothing earth-shattering. As for next week, I’ll leave it to TT to say for sure but my read is that the Saints are playing for a beatpath and the Colts aren’t. More [...]