As Kenneth and Tom have shown, New Orleans is very slightly favored in the Super Bowl by the Beatpaths system. There’s no beatpath relationship between the two teams, however, and Indianapolis had the better record with one more win – Isaacson-Tarbell picks Indianapolis. So the ITB pick is Indianapolis. Now that it’s 3rd and 5 [...]

Hey folks, Tom here with the analysis of ranking changes from the conference championship games. No big movers based on the results of the championships. The graph is getting more stable, mostly as a function of fewer games being played each week. Few upsets means that the ranking changes result in much less variance. Pick [...]