As Kenneth and Tom have shown, New Orleans is very slightly favored in the Super Bowl by the Beatpaths system. There’s no beatpath relationship between the two teams, however, and Indianapolis had the better record with one more win – Isaacson-Tarbell picks Indianapolis. So the ITB pick is Indianapolis.
Now that it’s 3rd and 5 in the 4th with about three and a half minutes left, and Manning is looking a little bit chokey, I’m not sure that’s really how it will work out, but there it is… and…. pick six. Zoinks!