2009 NFL Super Bowl Beatpath Graph

And, here we are, closing the books on another NFL season! This one has a much more satisfying outcome than last season, when the NY Jets was making everyone here gnash their teeth. Although I would argue that this season repairs last season a bit, as both the NY Jets and Brett Favre ended up being a wee bit better than people thought they were at the end of last season.

New Orleans defeats Indianapolis, and sits atop by the rankings by a healthy margin. They have beatpaths to every team in the league except for San Diego, Dallas, Pittsburgh, Minnesota, and (oddly) the NY Giants. Loops after the jump!

2009-21-nfl-clean.png

Removing CHI split from MIN
Removing GB split from ARI
Removing DEN split from KC
Removing OAK split from KC
Removing NO split from CAR
Removing ATL split from CAR
Removing DEN split from OAK
Removing TB split from NO
Removing NYJ split from NE
Removing MIA split from NE
Removing BAL split from NE
Removing SF split from SEA
Removing DEN split from SD
Removing PIT split from BAL
Removing TEN split from JAC
Removing NYJ split from BUF
Removing MIA split from BUF
Removing CLE split from PIT
Removing IND split from NYJ
Removing HOU split from TEN
Shrinking circle length to 3
35 Circles...
Loop: WAS=>STL=>DET=>WAS
Loop: JAC=>HOU=>SEA=>JAC
Loop: JAC=>HOU=>MIA=>JAC
Loop: JAC=>HOU=>NE=>JAC
Loop: JAC=>BUF=>IND=>JAC
Loop: ARI=>HOU=>SF=>ARI
Loop: HOU=>SF=>JAC=>HOU
Loop: HOU=>MIA=>NYJ=>HOU
Loop: NYG=>WAS=>DEN=>NYG
Loop: NYG=>DAL=>PHI=>NYG
Loop: NYG=>DAL=>NO=>NYG
Loop: NYG=>OAK=>PHI=>NYG
Loop: CHI=>PIT=>GB=>CHI
Loop: ARI=>MIN=>SF=>ARI
Loop: MIN=>CIN=>PIT=>MIN
Loop: MIA=>NYJ=>TEN=>MIA
Loop: MIA=>NYJ=>SD=>MIA
Loop: WAS=>OAK=>PHI=>WAS
Loop: TB=>GB=>DAL=>TB
Loop: BUF=>IND=>TEN=>BUF
Loop: BUF=>IND=>HOU=>BUF
Loop: BUF=>IND=>NE=>BUF
Loop: KC=>PIT=>SD=>KC
Loop: SD=>OAK=>PIT=>SD
Loop: SD=>CIN=>PIT=>SD
Loop: BAL=>SD=>CIN=>BAL
Loop: CLE=>OAK=>CIN=>CLE
Loop: DEN=>CIN=>PIT=>DEN
Loop: BAL=>DEN=>CIN=>BAL
Loop: DEN=>DAL=>PHI=>DEN
Loop: DEN=>DAL=>WAS=>DEN
Loop: BAL=>OAK=>CIN=>BAL
Loop: CAR=>MIN=>DAL=>CAR
Loop: CAR=>NYG=>DAL=>CAR
Loop: MIN=>DAL=>NO=>MIN
Done
Shrinking circle length to 5
Shrinking circle length to 4
Shrinking circle length to 3
1 Circles...
Loop: NYG=>DAL=>PHI=>NYG
Done
Shrinking circle length to 5
Shrinking circle length to 4
5 Circles...
Loop: ARI=>JAC=>NYJ=>CAR=>ARI
Loop: JAC=>NYJ=>CIN=>CLE=>JAC
Loop: JAC=>HOU=>CIN=>CLE=>JAC
Loop: ARI=>NYG=>ATL=>SF=>ARI
Loop: NYJ=>CIN=>PIT=>MIA=>NYJ
Done
Shrinking circle length to 5
1 Circles...
Loop: SEA=>DET=>CLE=>BUF=>TB=>SEA
Done

6 Responses to 2009 NFL Super Bowl Beatpath Graph

  1. JT says:

    Humm. Seems awfully quiet here, especially since the 2010 NFL season is underway. Have beatpaths fallen by the wayside?

  2. Josh says:

    Likewise. I keep checking in, but no updates. What’s become of my beloved beatpaths?

  3. The MOOSE says:

    I’m running mine this year still. The site I get my scores from finally updated today so graphs should be up around 10:30 AM Eastern.

  4. The MOOSE says:

    Week 1 graphs are up. BeatGraphs.com

    Naturally there’s no difference between Iterative and Weighted graphs at this point. We need to wait until the first loops of the season until things get interesting.

  5. The MOOSE says:

    Week 2 is up. Hopefully TT will show up again soon.

  6. Thurhame says:

    I’m building a slightly different ranking system this year. It’s similar to The MOOSE’s ranking system; however, a team only gets half credit for its defeated opponents’ wins and vice versa, and beatloops are not removed.

    For example, after week 2: NYJ->NE->CIN->BAL->NYJ.

    Thus, NYJ gets 1 (NYJ->NE) + 0.5 (NE->CIN) + 0.25 (CIN->BAL) + 0.125 (BAL->NYJ) + … = 2 win points. Similarly, it has 2 loss points. 2/(2+2) = 0.500, a perfectly average rating.

    In my opinion, this system has a couple of advantages. Because the value of a win decreases the longer the beatpath, a team gets more for consistently beating good teams than for beating a single great team (which might be a fluke). Also, because beatloops are not removed, if a team is in a beatloop it gains fractional points recursively for both wins and losses, pushing it closer to the center (as it should be).

    Week 2 rankings are:
    1.000 PIT (3.5 – 0)
    1.000 HOU (3.25 – 0)
    1.000 KC (2.9375 – 0)
    1.000 GB (2.5 – 0)
    1.000 TB (2 – 0)
    1.000 CHI (2 – 0)
    1.000 MIA (2 – 0)
    1.000 NO (2 – 0)
    0.652 SD (1.875 – 1)
    0.600 ATL (1.5 – 1)
    0.600 TEN (1.5 – 1)
    0.600 IND (1.5 – 1)
    0.538 JAC (1.75 – 1.5)
    0.500 NYJ (2 – 2)
    0.500 WAS (1 – 1)
    0.500 NE (2 – 2)
    0.500 PHI (1 – 1)
    0.500 CIN (2 – 2)
    0.500 BAL (2 – 2)
    0.462 DEN (1.5 – 1.75)
    0.400 NYG (1 – 1.5)
    0.400 ARI (1 – 1.5)
    0.400 OAK (1 – 1.5)
    0.348 SEA (1 – 1.875)
    0.000 CLE (0 – 2)
    0.000 MIN (0 – 2)
    0.000 BUF (0 – 2)
    0.000 DET (0 – 2.5)
    0.000 DAL (0 – 2.5)
    0.000 CAR (0 – 2.75)
    0.000 SF (0 – 2.9375)
    0.000 STL (0 – 3.5)

    I broke ties using points (like The MOOSE’s weighted graph).

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