2010 NFL Week 4 Beatpaths Power Rankings

Hey hey hey everyone! Kenneth is back here with more rankings fun. 4 weeks in and we’re starting to see some interesting stuff. Let’s get right into it!

You can see the Beatgraph for this week here.

Rank Team Notes Last Week EdgePower

1

(Beat PIT) The big jumpers this week. They got helped by two things: 1.), Beating Pittsburgh gave them a beatwin over a very high quality opponent, and 2.), Cincinnati losing to Cleveland created a shorter loop (BAL=>CLE=>CIN=>BAL) than last week’s (CIN=>BAL=>NYJ=>NE=>CIN), which gave them back their win over the Jets–another high quality opponent.

15

86.05

(31 – 0) / 43

#1 – #11

2

(Lost to BAL) Given everything, a 3-1 record should be more than acceptable for while they were holding down the fort while Big Ben was away. If he can hit the ground running…they will be tough.

1

72.09

(20 – 1) / 43

#2 – #17

3

(Beat OAK) Texans are mostly buoyed by their win over Indianapolis. Which itself looks better this week, but more on that later (FORESHADOWING!).

4

62.79

(11 – 0) / 43

#1 – #22

4

(Beat SF) Well, if you’re under number 1, and number 1 falls a bit, then so do you. Still no shame in having lost to the Steelers.

2

61.63

(12 – 2) / 43

#3 – #22

5

(Beat BUF) Beating the Bills doesn’t do much. The aformentioned CLE=>CIN result brings back the NYJ=>NE=>CIN beatpath, which you would think would help, but not that much. I guess there’s not much room to move up.

6

60.47

(10 – 1) / 43

#2 – #25

6

(Lost to JAC) This loss, along with NYG=>CHI, creates a 6 team beatloop of GB=>PHI=>JAC=>IND=>NYG=>CHI=>GB, so it doesn’t show up immediately. And they get a beatpath back to NYG due to DEN=>TEN. So, they lose nothing and gain something. Actually, DEN is boosting them quite a bit right now.

10

59.30

(9 – 1) / 43

#2 – #23

7

(Beat TEN) The problem the Broncos had was that they didn’t have any beatwins last week. Beating the Titans fixed that.

21

56.98

(8 – 2) / 43

#3 – #24

8

(Beat MIA) One of the benefits of being too lazy busy to do this on Tuesday is that I got to know about the Randy Moss trade before I wrote. I have to admit, this is really surprising to me. I guess they were good on Monday night, but I don’t think that defense is going to hold up and without Moss, are you really going to outscore people?

14

55.81

(7 – 2) / 43

#3 – #26

9

(Bye) So far, Beatpaths is basically saying that the Chiefs haven’t beaten anyone impressive. This week is their chance to change all that.

7

53.49

(3 – 0) / 43

#1 – #29

10

(Beat DET) The Packers shed their only beatloss when the Giants beat down the Bears. But it cost them their win over the Eagles, which hurts them more. C’est la vie.

8

52.33

(2 – 0) / 43

#1 – #30

11

(Lost to NYG) Yeah, remember last week when I said I wasn’t ready to believe in the Bears yet? Me either, I just happened to come across it. The Bears are in the same position as the Packers, but more so, Beatpaths-wise. Real football-wise, I really don’t believe that the Packers and Cowboys are incapable of rushing the passer, so I have to think it was just a bad matchup for the OLine/Cutler (who was holding the ball WAY too long). But even if that is the case, they might have to face the Giants again if they want to get to the Super Bowl. I don’t look forward to that.

3

52.33

(2 – 0) / 43

#1 – #30

12

(Lost to DEN) The Titans still have a lot of teams below them, but they now have a lot more teams above them, which drops them down.

5

52.33

(7 – 5) / 43

#6 – #25

13

(Lost to SD) The loss to San Diego gets looped away by the Chargers’ loss to Seattle (Sd=>ARI=>STL=>SEA=>SD), costing the Cardinals only their win over the Rams. No big loss, but no gain either.

11

52.33

(5 – 3) / 43

#4 – #27

14

(Beat CAR) Saints also pushed down some from more people on top of them. I am buying the Drew Brees injury story; there is no way that tea should be playing the Panthers so close.

12

51.16

(4 – 3) / 43

#4 – #28

15

(Lost to STL) Meanwhile, Seattle was already looping away it’s win over San Diego, so no big loss here, and they loop away this loss too.

17

51.16

(1 – 0) / 43

#1 – #31

16

(Bye) I am very interested in seeing what the Bucs do coming out of the break.

13

50.00

(2 – 2) / 43

#3 – #30

17

(Beat IND) Jaguars manage the impressive feat of being completely unrelated to any teams at all after 4 weeks. We know nothing about this team.

22

50.00

(0 – 0) / 43

#1 – #32

18

(Beat ARI) Now here’s a way to make sense of all this Randy Moss nonsense–the Patriots trade a 3rd (or maybe even a 2nd) to the Chargers for Vincent Jackson. Then, the Patriots are basically replacing (well, trying to) Moss with a younger version of him, for a cheap overall price. Still weird to do it in the middle of the season, but who knows. Oh, and as mentioned, the Chargers loop away this win immediately, leaving them with no beatwins.

19

48.84

(0 – 1) / 43

#2 – #32

19

(Lost to NE) Miami goes from having one team above it to having 3. That’s gonna ruin your day and your Edgepower.

9

48.84

(3 – 4) / 43

#4 – #29

20

(Bye) Nothing happened to this team during the bye week. Literally. Maybe they’ll be more interesting when they play.

20

48.84

(0 – 1) / 43

#2 – #32

21

(Lost to CLE) The Bengals make a weak position weaker by losing to the Browns. I was giving the Bengals (and Carson Palmer) the benefit of the doubt as long as they kept defeating division opponents. So much for that.

16

47.67

(1 – 3) / 43

#4 – #31

22

(Beat CIN) Browns now find themselves only below two of the most unimpressive winning teams out there. I suppose it’s possible that the Chiefs and Buccaneers are part of a new wave of powerhouses and the Browns are a good team that just got unlucky matchups, but I doubt it.

26

45.35

(0 – 4) / 43

#5 – #32

23

(Beat CHI) The Giants don’t get the win due to the 6 team beatloop, and don’t really shed any losses. So they’re mired right where they were last week.

23

44.19

(1 – 6) / 43

#7 – #31

24

(Lost to HOU) That goes double for the Raiders, except they didn’t loop away their loss. But Houston is so high up the charts that they would have had paths to Oakland anyway.

24

43.02

(4 – 10) / 43

#9 – #28

25

(Lost to ATL) Well, San Fran. You get some lucky breaks early on and still can’t pull it out. Not looking too good for you.

28

41.86

(0 – 7) / 43

#7 – #32

26

(Bye) Meanwhile, I’m not sure if Randy Moss is the cure to the Vikings’ ills, but it’s certainly worth taking a shot. If I’m Brett Favre, I’d start making weirder and weirder demands just to see if the Vikings capitulate.

25

40.70

(1 – 9) / 43

#8 – #31

27

(Lost to NYJ) I know it’s spilt milk and all that but the Bills had RBs and no QBs, and they took a RB in the 1st round. Somewhere they forgot that QB was the most important position in the NFL now. It’s not 1982 anymore, guys (if it ever was). Remember Jim Kelly? At least they recouped some of that with the Lynch trade.

27

40.70

(0 – 8) / 43

#6 – #32

28

(Beat SEA) Rams don’t get anything from the win since it gets looped away. But they’re climbing, if only barely. And they look better for sure. I’m really mad that I didn’t pick the Rams in my pick’em league this past week because for some reason I thought the game was in Seattle.

29

40.70

(3 – 11) / 43

#10 – #29

29

(Beat PHI) My opinion of the Redskins is closer to what Beatpaths says than what the consensus seems to be. It’s possible that the NFC East isn’t that good this year, guys.

30

38.37

(2 – 12) / 43

#11 – #30

30

(Lost to WAS) Philly plummets due to finding themselves under Washington, who is under almost everyone.

18

36.05

(1 – 13) / 43

#12 – #31

31

(Lost to NO) I guess we’ll see if these guys can pull it out against the Bears’ backup QB this week. They were closer last week, at least.

31

31.40

(0 – 16) / 43

#14 – #32

32

(Lost to GB) Meanwhile, the Lions are really close in all these games. I really think this team is better than 0-4. I suppose this kind of agony isn’t as bad as 0-16 agony, but maybe it is. At least the Lions are changing it up for their fans.

32

22.09

(0 – 24) / 43

#20 – #32

6 Responses to 2010 NFL Week 4 Beatpaths Power Rankings

  1. JT says:

    Boy, NYG->CHI really hurt Chicago, but has not yet helped the Giants yet.

    The top of the rankings seems very AFC heavy at this point. 8 of the top 10 teams are from the AFC. At the other end, 8 of the 10 bottom teams are from the NFC. I wonder how that will hold up over the season.

  2. The MOOSE says:

    Regarding the Moss trade from the perspective of this NE fan: I liked the trade the minute I heard about it. He has had very little impact on the games up to this point other than drawing coverage. The only play so far this season where Moss impressed me was the one-handed TD catch he made against NYJ. I have felt that he has been disinterested in playing for us and as a result, we needed to get rid of him. I’m sure he’ll play well for MIN and be extra motivated on Halloween weekend when he comes back to Foxboro. In the end, I think it was time for both him and the team to move on. Considering that we bought him for a 4th round pick and sold him for a 3rd round, we got just about all the value we could have from him.

    I have been thinking the same thing about a trade with SD for a replacement receiver, but to be honest, we may not need more help on offense. Even without Moss we have a capable offense. It may be a better idea to package the picks for an impact player on defense.

  3. ThunderThumbs says:

    Man, if Minnesota gets anything positive out of this like a super bow victory, it’ll be just in the nick of time before they implode back to mediocrity. Building a dynasty they are not.

  4. Kenneth says:

    Well, drawing coverage can have a big effect. I admit I haven’t been watching NE, but I’d be surprised if losing Moss doesn’t hurt the offense in a noticeable way. But we’ll see.

  5. The MOOSE says:

    The thing is that up to now NE is the highest scoring team in football. Do I think we’ll be as strong without Moss? No. But I think a regression from the best to above average is fine. The problem with NE isn’t the offense, it’s the defense. I suspect it will remain that way.

  6. Jay says:

    “My opinion of the Redskins is closer to what Beatpaths says than what the consensus seems to be. It’s possible that the NFC East isn’t that good this year, guys.”

    except that the Redskins came within a ice-the-kicker timeout of beating the Texans, who are #3 and have no beatpaths over them. Out of curiosity, is it easy to tell what the graph would look like if that game had gone the other way?

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