2010 NFL Week 9 Beatpaths Power Rankings

Welcome to the rankings folks! Kenneth here, bringing you the news. And what news there is–there’s a new team on top this week! And in an odd circumstance, no loops were broken up this week–there are only new loops. But let’s skip all the pleasantries and get right in!

You can see the graph for this week here.

Rank Team Notes Last Week EdgePower

1

(Beat CIN) Yes, can you believe it? Beating the Bengals finally looped away that loss to the Ravens via a three team beatloop. We all felt that that loss to Cincy was the Raven’s weak point, and now we’ve seen it come out. Now, instead of being the support for the top team in the league, the Steelers get that position for themselves outright. Enjoy it, Pittsburgh!

2

85.16

(45 – 0) / 64

#1 – #9

2

(Lost to PHI) WHA? Colts lose to Philly but move up to second? Yes, the Colts stay strong by looping away the loss with their win over Washington. That costs the Colts a beatwin, but Washington is so far down that it doesn’t hurt them.

3

80.47

(39 – 0) / 64

#1 – #10

3

(Bye) The Titans round out the top 3 this week, otherwise known as “teams that have paths to the Giants”. Personally, I am eagerly awaiting the debut of Randy Moss the Titan this week.

4

80.47

(40 – 1) / 64

#2 – #11

4

(Beat SEA) Beating the Seahawks simply let the Giants climb up a little higher–instead of being directly above the Bears, they’re directly above the Seahawks. That puts them near the top of the rankings and keeps my proclamation of New York as the best team in the NFC looking good, or at least defensible.

5

76.56

(37 – 3) / 64

#4 – #12

5

(Lost to NYG) Seahawks lose big to the Giants but stay at the top of the rankings. I’m not sure what it says that a team with a -51 point differential is so high in these rankings, but the Seahawks are clinging to this spot with their win over the Bears. Still, these rankings are meant to get better over time–with more data, I think we’ll have a better idea of whether the Seahawks are good or not.

6

71.09

(31 – 4) / 64

#5 – #14

6

(Beat BUF) The Bears get back in the win column by beating the team that everyone has beaten this season. As shaky as the Seahawk’s position is above the Bears, the Bears are also shaky by holding on to a win over the Packers–and that’s a division game, which gives more chances to loop away. I guess my point is that this structure that has existed for awhile is likely to fall.

8

67.19

(28 – 6) / 64

#6 – #16

7

(Lost to CLE) Wow, New England. Just…wow. I guess Mangini has the magic touch when it comes to facing Belichick. The Patriots don’t suffer from this loss, as it gets looped away by the win over Baltimore, and that win was looped away previously by the loss to the Jets.

7

63.28

(17 – 0) / 64

#1 – #20

8

(Beat DAL) Sorry NBC. I’m sure Packers-Cowboys sounded like dynamite back in June, but sometimes these things happen. The Packers are the true lynchpin of this graph–their position is supported by multiple beatpaths over good teams. So even if something causes the top of the graph to topple, expect the Packers to come out strong.

9

63.28

(24 – 7) / 64

#7 – #17

9

(Beat DET) Jets pull out the win in Detroit. The win doesn’t do much for the Jets, but they still don’t have any beatlosses, which is keeping them afloat.

10

57.81

(10 – 0) / 64

#1 – #23

10

(Beat IND) Pretty impressive performance by the Eagles. Unfortunately, all it does is loop away a loss to the Redskins which had already been looped away, so no benefit to Philly. As long as it doesn’t look stupid I’m going to stick with my proclamation as the Giants as the cream of the crop, but a win like this makes a big impression.

15

56.25

(17 – 9) / 64

#8 – #20

11

(Lost to BAL) The loss to the Ravens gets looped away in a three team loop with Cincinnati. That costs the Dolphins their win over the Bengals, but that’s a small loss in the grand scheme of things, and so Miami treads water.

13

54.69

(8 – 2) / 64

#3 – #24

12

(Beat CAR) The Saints beat the Panthers this week, but lose a lot of support because one of their wins–an important one–got looped away (FORESHADOWING!). Now, their only direct beatwins are 2 over the Panthers and one over the 49ers. Those are not impressive teams, and so the Saints find themselves down here despite a lack of any beatlosses.

11

53.12

(4 – 0) / 64

#1 – #30

13

(Beat KC) I sure was hoping that the Chiefs would win this thing and allow me to continue to believe that the Raiders weren’t for real. But now it seems like It’s On Like Donkey Kong (Trademark 2010 Nintendo). This win gets looped away in a three team loop with the 49ers (seriously?), and that loss had already been looped away so the Raiders get no benefit here. They do get a benefit from shedding a beatloss to Houston by another team’s actions (FORESHADOWING!)

17

53.12

(4 – 0) / 64

#1 – #28

14

(Beat MIA) I admit, I was wondering when these guys would show up–and I saw these rankings before I was writing this! Yes, one the mighty Ravens were no longer perched on top of the Steelers, they plummeted to the middle of the pack. It didn’t help that they don’t get any credit for this win either–it’s looped away by the Cincinnati win as well. That would have provided a nice struct for the Ravens, but instead they’re left with their wins over Buffalo and Denver now. That’s even less impressive than the Saints.

1

51.56

(2 – 0) / 64

#1 – #30

15

(Lost to OAK) As mentioned, the loss gets looped away in a three team loop with San Francisco. Normally I would say no big deal, but the Chiefs actually were using that win as support. Also, like the Raiders they get out from under the Texans this week via another team’s actions (FORE–is this joke getting old?), but unlike the Raiders it costs them some support. So now the Chiefs are in a position they’ve been in for most of the season–not too many teams above them, but utterly unimpressive wins below them. For my part, the prospect of watching the Kansas City and Oakland struggle to pull out the AFC West crown is completely uninteresting.

16

51.56

(2 – 0) / 64

#1 – #30

16

(Beat TB) Beating the Buccaneers gives the Falcons enough support to land on the positive side of the Edgepower ledger, but they’re still under the Eagles and that still hurts. As I type this I haven’t checked tonight’s game so I don’t know how they did against the Ravens, but if Roddy White was out then I don’t like their chances. I think Matt Ryan has done okay this season considering his circumstances, but it pales in comparison to what Phillip Rivers and Peyton Manning have done with much more injuries. Just goes to show you how big the spectrum of quarterback play is in this league.

19

51.56

(12 – 10) / 64

#9 – #24

17

(Bye) The Broncos probably spent the bye week dreaming of the days that they were situated on top of the Seahawks in the Beatpaths graph. It seems so long ago.

18

47.66

(0 – 3) / 64

#4 – #32

18

(Beat HOU) AHA! Here’s the culprit! Yes, the Chargers played wrecking ball this week by knocking off the Texans. That created a 3 team loop with the Raiders and one with the Chiefs, the latter of which removed a beatloss from San Diego’s graph. Unfortunately for Phillip & Co., they still don’t have many impressive beatwins, so they stay where they are. I know people are excited about the Chargers getting players back on offense, but really, how much can the passing game get?

20

47.66

(3 – 6) / 64

#7 – #29

19

(Lost to SD) This loss meant more to Houston than the win meant to San Diego, that’s for sure. It cost them their wins over the Raiders and Chiefs. You might not think much of beatwins over those two teams, but now, the Texans have no beatwins. Any beatwins are better than no beatwins, my friends.

12

46.88

(0 – 4) / 64

#5 – #32

20

(Lost to ATL) I have to give it to the Buccaneers–they were right there in the end, and they had a shot. It seems like that’s just how it’s going for Tampa Bay this year, but they’ve managed to do alright regardless. Unfortunately, this loss doesn’t get looped away, and now they’re under the Falcons which damages their ranking significantly.

14

46.09

(7 – 12) / 64

#10 – #27

21

(Beat ARI) Oh man–I almost forgot I called FORESHADOWING back on the Saints. Well, here’s where it comes to play. The Vikings’ win over the Cardinals created a 3 team beatloop with the Saints. That basically allowed the Vikings to shed the Saints loss, but since the Saints had no beatlosses the Vikings don’t really change their power that much, and stay in the same place. As a Bears fan, I was very happy that the Cardinals were going to bury the Vikings season for us the week before we faced them, but old Wrangler Pants had to go and pull out the old magic. Now it’s up to Chicago to do the job, and it’s a sign of how much I trust the Bears that I really wish the Cardinals had won.

21

44.53

(6 – 13) / 64

#11 – #26

22

(Lost to MIN) Speaking of those Cardinals…they are in just a TON of beatloops now. All three of their wins are looped away at least twice. That doesn’t really bode well for future advancement anytime soon.

22

41.41

(0 – 11) / 64

#10 – #32

23

(Bye) Little change for the Jaguars on the bye. I find it odd that the Jaguars have used so many QBs this season and the Panthers, as far as I know, have only used the 2. It’s also odd that I still link those two teams in my mind. Guess it just shows that I’m a product of my generation–that expansion happened during my NFL formative years.

24

41.41

(2 – 13) / 64

#11 – #30

24

(Lost to NYJ) Lions lost Matthew Stafford and just couldn’t quite pull out the win over the Jets. Of course, the fact that you can even say such a statement tells you how far the Lions have come from where they were. Unfortunately for them, it sounds like Stafford is out for the season. Despite showing flashes, I wouldn’t bank on a guy missing that much time early and turning out to be a franchise guy. Last time I saw that movie it was called Rex Grossman.

23

40.62

(4 – 16) / 64

#12 – #28

25

(Beat NE) Big ups to the Browns, who beat a team without a fake punt OR two interception returns from a lineman! I did dig the standing lineman trickeration play though. I don’t think this team can climb back into the playoffs this season, but their arrow is definitely up for the next few years. Which makes the relevant question whether Holmgren and Mangini can tolerate each other during that time.

25

40.62

(0 – 12) / 64

#11 – #32

26

(Lost to PIT) There’s No Shame In Losing To Pittsburgh, but it looks like the Bengals just don’t have the same magic this year. I suppose we shouldn’t be surprised that Cincinnati isn’t sweeping the division again this year, but at least they’re showing signs of last year’s selves in some of these losses.

26

39.84

(2 – 15) / 64

#12 – #30

27

(Bye) Rams had a bye this week, and thus only lost 2 more WRs to injury.

27

33.59

(3 – 24) / 64

#17 – #29

28

(Lost to CHI) I’ve seen Marshawn Lynch against the Bears defense and I saw the Bills’ remaining RBs against it, and I certainly think that Lynch would have helped tremendously. Though I guess Buffalo knows it isn’t going anywhere this season, so they might as well get something for him now. Though I made a similar argument in past years with the Rams and Steven Jackson, and it looks like that would have been a bad idea. So who knows.

29

32.03

(0 – 23) / 64

#16 – #32

29

(Bye) The more Mike Shanahan talks about his QB situation, the worse he sounds. I’m starting to wonder if maybe he’s going to do a Marty Schottenheimer Redskins Coach here, except without all the dignity and relatively impressive results.

28

30.47

(0 – 25) / 64

#18 – #32

30

(Lost to GB) I hate to kick a team when it’s down–well, alright, that is probably not true when it comes to the Cowboys–but what’s the point of removing Wade Phillips now, as opposed to 3-4 weeks ago when it might have saved your season?

30

30.47

(0 – 25) / 64

#15 – #32

31

(Lost to NO) The Panthers should feel grateful for that win over the 49ers, because without it they’d be the Buffalo Bills, but without any hope.

31

24.22

(1 – 34) / 64

#20 – #31

32

(Bye) Which Smith do you want as your starting QB? I was thinking it over in my head and I said to myself “you’ve got to give Alex Smith a chance so you can see what you’ve got”, and it occurred to me that he’s been given that chance a lot already. We know what we’ve got now. I guess it’s time to cut losses and manage this season as best you can while preparing the search for a franchise QB in the offseason.

32

20.31

(0 – 38) / 64

#21 – #32

3 Responses to 2010 NFL Week 9 Beatpaths Power Rankings

  1. JT says:

    I always link the Panthers and Jaguars in my mind because their logos look so much alike.

  2. Vinntaroth says:

    Same. The fact that they both joined the NFL at the same time just makes it worse, haha.

  3. [...] NYG) You’ll notice I discreetly avoided bringing up my proclamation that the Giants were the best team in the NFC. Yes, I’ve eliminated all evidence. Wait…doh! Anyway, this win for the Cowboys just [...]

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