Category Archives: 2008 NFL Picks

2008 NFL Regular Season Picks

This is a week late in review, but this thread is for discussion of picks records for the 2008 season. Beatpaths was 150-105-1 for 2008. My own personal picks, informed by beatpaths but occasionally overruled, helped by a 3-0 final week, were three games better, for 153-102-1. I believe King Kaufman got to 151-104-1 after […]

Retroactive Pick Record

Hey folks, Tom here again. One important aspect to designing a system like Beatpaths is to look for confirmation that the system is indeed getting better as more information is fed into it. I’ve already been looking into one aspect of this, by tracking the stability of the rankings that Beatpaths produces week-on-week. As more […]

Pick Confidence – Wildcard Round

Tom once again—a bit late in the day, but I thought I’d get these up here as the games started in earnest. Matchup(Winner-Loser) “Confidence”(out of 100) BeatPower comparison(predicted winner – predicted loser) Result Indianapolis-San Diego 79.4 98.2-18.8 WRONG Baltimore-Miami 37.6 82.0-44.4 CORRECT Atlanta-Arizona 26.8 75.0-48.2 WRONG Minnesota-Philadelphia 26.8 83.9-57.1 WRONG Beatpaths seems much more confident […]

Pick Confidence – Week 17

Tom here with the “confidence” rankings of this week’s picks, based on comparing the BeatPower scores of each match-up. The picks took a beating last week, but nevertheless, the high confidence picks still did twice as well as the low confidence picks, even on a bad week overall. Here are this week’s: Matchup(Winner-Loser) “Confidence”(out of […]

Pick Confidence – Week 16

Tom here with the “confidence” rankings of this week’s picks, based on comparing the BeatPower scores of each match-up: Matchup(Winner-Loser) “Confidence”(out of 100) BeatPower comparison(predicted winner – predicted loser) Result NY Jets-Seattle 93.9 97.9-4.0 WRONG Tampa Bay-San Diego 70.5 88.0-17.5 WRONG Indianapolis-Jacksonville 63.2 71.2-8.0 CORRECT Denver-Buffalo 60.2 81.6-21.4 WRONG New Orleans-Detroit 41.7 41.7-0.0 CORRECT Houston-Oakland […]

2008 NFL Week 16 Picks

Thursday again, and the weeks keep seeming to get shorter. The picks were 9-7 last week, for a total record of 135-88-1. I was 0-2 on the personal picks, since I picked both Arizona and the NY Giants – this brings me back to even on the year, at 16-16. INDIANAPOLIS at Jacksonville: Indianapolis has […]

Ranking Confidence – Week 15

Tom here with the “confidence” rankings of this week’s picks, based on comparing the BeatPower scores of each match-up: Matchup(Winner-Loser) “Confidence”(out of 100) BeatPower comparison(predicted winner – predicted loser) Result Indianapolis-Detroit 76.1 76.1-0.0 CORRECT NY Jets-Buffalo 74.8 97.9-23.1 CORRECT New England-Oakland 51.3 60.7-9.4 CORRECT Washington-Cincinnati 46.2 50.0-3.8 WRONG Tennessee-Houston 45.7 95.7-50.0 WRONG Philadelphia-Cleveland 31.2 73.3-42.1 […]

2008 NFL Week 15 Picks

Happy Thursday! The picks were 9-7 last week, for a total record of 115-76-1 126-81-1 (sorry, forgot week 14’s picks). I was 1-0 on the personal picks, or 16-14 for the year. UPDATE: The rest of the picks are in place now. A quick look at how CHI->NO changed the rankings – the top 6 […]

2008 NFL Week 14 Beatpaths Rankings

Hi ho BeatPath fans! Kenneth back with the commentary, and if you thought previous weeks had controversy, well, you haven’t seen anything yet! Rank Team Notes Last Week BeatPower 1 (Beat KC) And thus our proprietor achieves his goals with beatpaths, and gets the Broncos ranked on top. No, kidding. But how did the Broncos […]